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Crossfire

If you do not have diabetes, is it worth managing your glucose spikes?

What the experts say

Nicola GuessPhD, MPH, RD · academic dietitian, type 2 diabetes

No. Normal post-meal glucose rises are not a risk factor, and the attention costs more than the practice buys.

What it rests onGlycation is a normal metabolic process which becomes pathogenic only under prolonged hyperglycaemia, that is, in diabetes. She adds a second-order objection: people who cut carbohydrate to flatten spikes tend to eat more meat and dairy, which carry the highest dietary advanced glycation end product content while grains carry among the lowest, so following the advice works against its own stated goal. And a third: normal post-prandial glucose rises are a non-existent risk factor while cholesterol and blood pressure are the ones that kill people prematurely.

Source: drguess.substack.com ↗
Jessie InchauspéMSc biochemistry · science communicator and founder; not a clinician, dietitian or nutrition scientist

Yes. Glucose variability damages cells and raises long-term risk even below the diabetic range, and it also drives cravings and hunger today.

What it rests onHer science page states that higher glucose levels damage cells, that 'The variations, the spiking, are damaging the cells in our blood vessels, which could increase our risk of having a heart problem', that 'People with higher variability between their glucose measurements were at a higher risk of death', that 'The risk of death increased with average glucose levels even below the diabetic range', that midlife fasting glucose predicts Alzheimer's risk, and that 'When you spike high during a meal and then you drop low, this will create more cravings and more hunger'. The sources are observational.

Source: glucosegoddess.com ↗

Overview

Both sides are addressed to people without diabetes, which is unusual and is what makes this a real disagreement rather than two answers to different questions.

Guess's own carve-outs run the other way and belong alongside her position: she does recommend food sequencing to people who have type 2 diabetes, and a reduced glycaemic load to people with reactive hypoglycaemia. She is not against the mechanism; she is against applying it to people in whom she says it does nothing.

Where they agree

More than either would advertise. Both are against calorie counting as the organising idea, both favour fibre and vegetables, both are against moralising about food, and Guess credits the other side in writing: successful purveyors of dodgy science "always say a few things that are partly right", and she names the promotion of fibre and exercise as the partly-right things.

Both also agree that people with type 2 diabetes benefit from food sequencing; the dispute is entirely about the healthy majority.

What would settle it

A trial in people with normal glucose tolerance, randomising a spike-flattening protocol against usual eating, with hard outcomes rather than curve shape, over a long enough horizon to matter. Neither has one, and both say so in their own way: Guess by calling the risk factor non-existent, Inchauspe by resting the long-term half of her case on observational associations.

Practice does not pick a winner here

You do, and your call is dated, kept, and yours to change. Follow the people you already trust and what they publish turns into a short daily practice.

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